| The
recent IPO filing by software vendor Red Hat, Inc. signals increased
demand in the fast-growing market for a widely accepted operating
system that competes with Microsoft products.
The Durham, N.C.-based companys IPO is expected to contribute
to the success of other "open source" vendors and
foreshadows additional open source IPOs. (Open source vendors
sell products that freely share their programming language with
other vendors, who can then write other programs without paying
licensing fees.)
"There is a substantial business market that exists for
open source software products," says Stacy Quandt, an analyst
at Giga Information Group, based in Santa Clara, California.
In addition to raising an estimated $60.1 million dollars,
after expenses, Red Hat is also generating increased attention
for the business model pioneered by the company.
The Linux operating system, invented by a volunteer global
team of software programmers led by former University of Helsinki
student Linus Torvalds, is the most popular and well-known open
source software. Red Hat distributes a version of the Linux
operating system.
San Jose-based Dataquest estimates that Linux will account
for 3.4 percent of worldwide server revenue, or $1.9 billion
dollars, by 2003. In terms of volume, that translates into 450,000
units.
However, a recently published Dataquest report suggests that
Linux servers will also account for approximately 24 percent
of worldwide server support revenue, or $3.8 billion dollars,
over the same time frame.
That means Linux is gaining an important foothold with one
of the most important groups in the server software food chain,
the vendors of server appliances, who may well influence future
purchasing decisions against Microsoft {MSFT}
and other big vendors in favor of the open source Linux operating
system.
Besides the ease with which it can be modified or adapted by
users, the Linux operating system is taking hold in the marketplace
for one other very good reason: its free.
Vendors like Red Hat make their money by selling service, product
enhancements, and documentation. Red Hat also sells a boxed
version of the software for customers who dont want to
go through the trouble of downloading the product.
Red Hat posted sales of $10.7 million dollars in 1999, up from
$5.15 million in 1998. The companys net loss in 1999 was
$91,000, compared with $8,000 in 1998. Red Hat investors include
Intel, Compaq, IBM, and Oracle.
Recent announcements from hardware vendor International Business
Machines {IBM}
are also giving Red Hat another big lift.

IBM 52-week price chart
IBM recently released a beta, or test version, of its popular
DB2 relational database that is compatible with Linux.
Major corporations use DB2, and other databases, to store and
process information about their products, customers, and services.
IBM has also announced it will be making a range of other IBM
hardware products Linux-compatible by year end. Meanwhile, database
vendor Oracle {ORCL}
is moving in the same direction.
Although open source software still represents just a tiny
fraction of the overall software market, the support Red Hat
is receiving from mainstream computer companies suggests these
companies are aiming at reducing Microsofts power within
the industry.
By migrating applications and hardware to the Linux platform,
these competitors hope to find a way to go around Microsoft
and, eventually, reach beyond the server market to offer consumers
a new generation of non-Windows dependent computer products.
Compaq, for example, recently announced the development of
a prototype personal digital assistant (PDA), called the Itsy,
that runs on the Linux operating system.

CPQ 52-week price chart
"Linux will continue to grow as an operating system deployed
on new server hardware, but much of the hype surrounding Linux
will fade once Microsoft ships and then delivers a service pack
for Windows 2000 server," predicts Kimball Brown, chief
analyst for Dataquests Emerging Server Technologies Worldwide
program in a recent report.
"However, in the server appliance market, we believe Linux
is becoming a credible and favorite operating system used by
server appliance vendors."
Red Hats IPO filing indicates the company will offer
66.6 million shares at between $10 to $12 each. 800,000 shares
have been reserved for directors, officers, friends, and employees
of Red Hat. No date has been set for the offering.
Smaller companies, such as Caldera Systems Inc., are also gearing
up for a potential IPO by offering a wide range of products
that support Linux.
Oram, Utah-based Caldera recently announced pacts with International
Business Machines and Computer Associates to distribute and
manage Linux software. The privately held company is part of
a holding company managed by Raymond Noorda, the former CEO
of Novell Inc.
|