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Strong sales of sub-$1000 PCs and Apples popular iMac
computer are helping drive after-market computer mouse sales
to record levels.
According to a recent report by Intellect ASW, a New York marketing
group, recent numbers show a 41 percent jump in after-market
mouse unit sales from May 1998 to May 1999. More than 3.2 million
after-market mice -- bought separate from those included with
a new computer system -- were sold during that period, representing
slightly over $60 million dollars.
The biggest beneficiaries of the surge in mouse sales are Logitech,
Inc. {LOGIY}
based in Fremont, Calif., Microsoft {MSFT},
and San Mateo, Calif.-based Kensington Technology Group, Inc.
Kensington is an operating company held by the much-larger
Fortune Brands {FO},
which also owns a number of other brands including Jim Beam,
Titleist, Master Lock, and Day-Timer, among others.
At present, Microsoft has 22.8 percent of the mouse market,
Logitech 21.3 percent, and Kensington 6.6 percent. The rest
of the mouse market is controlled by more than a dozen other
manufacturers, based primarily in Asia, who mostly sell into
the low-margin original equipment manufacturer (OEM) market
rather than through retail channels.
From an investors standpoint, though, Logitech looks
like the biggest winner.
Unlike Microsoft and Fortune Brands, whose strong sales in
other areas dwarfs the impact of their growing mouse businesses,
roughly half of all Logitech revenues come from mice and newer
mouse-like trackballs.
Logitechs sales for the quarter ending June 30, 1999
increased 63 percent, topping $114.4 million, as compared with
$70.1 million for the same period last year. The companys
net income likewise grew, by 15 percent, compared with the first
quarter of last year, hitting $588,000.

LOGIY 52-week price chart
| LOGITECH INTL S A (NNM:LOGIY) |
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| Strong Sell |
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Average
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| This Week |
3.0 |
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| Earnings Per Share |
| Last Quarter |
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| Surprise |
0.00 |
| Percent |
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| Consensus EPS |
| This Year's |
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LOGITECH INTL S A - LOGIY
ranks 30 out of 99. It is in the Computer/components
industry.
Analyst Ratings compiled by Zacks
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Although Logitechs sales numbers got a boost from the
companys August 1998 $25 million dollar cash acquisition
of Connectix Corps QuickCam digital camera business unit,
the underlying strength of the company is based on the burgeoning
demand for computer mice touched off by sub-$1000 PCs, new higher-margin
mouse products and, more recently, Apples iMac, which
comes equipped with a stylish mouse that many users say is an
ergonomic nightmare.
Sub-$1000 PCs have accounted for as much as 65 percent of all
PC sales in recent months according to PC Data, a market research
firm based in Reston, Virginia.
"Most of those computers come with very basic one or two
button mice," explains Pat McBride, an analyst at Intellect
ASW. "Since the cost of those PCs is so low, buyers have
a little extra left in their pockets which theyre willing
to spend on a new mouse," he says.
Martin Reynolds, an analyst at the GartnerGroup who tracks
the mouse business, says "adding a new mouse to your computer
is one of the highest value things you can do to customize your
PC."
Newer mice or trackball products now on the market improve
the functionality of computers and enhance user productivity,
says Reynolds.
"Using the little wheel that some of the newer mice have
to scroll through documents adds another dimension to the experience
of using your PC," he says. It also adds another dimension
to the profit picture for mouse makers. "We get about a
$10 premium for that," says Julie Goebel, Logitechs
senior product manager for mice.
Apples popular new iMac computer is also contributing
to the boom in mouse sales. The iMac comes equipped with a round,
translucent mouse that many users find troublesome. Within a
few weeks of the iMacs debut, computer retailers were
already selling little plastic sleeves that fit over the iMacs
round mouse to give it the shape and feel of a more traditional
mouse.
While there is no hard data yet on how many iMac users are
buying new mice, Reynolds thinks dissatisfaction with the iMacs
mouse could lead as many as one million iMac users to buy replacement
mice this year.
That development is another advantage for Logitech, which not
only makes iMac-compatible replacement trackballs that plug
into the iMacs Universal Serial Bus (USB) port ,but also
manufactures, under contract, the original mice that come with
the iMac.
"It was their design," says Logitechs Julie
Goebel. "Apple has done us a little favor," she adds,
noting that demand for Logitechs more versatile USB-compatible
iMac replacement mice and trackballs is running particularly
strong.
Trackballs are similar to mice but contain no moving parts
that come in contact with the surface on which they are placed,
making them more reliable and less prone to getting gummed up.
Trackball products are also molded in the shape of the human
hand to reduce ergonomic tensions.
Overall sales of trackballs are outpacing even the fast-growing
mouse business. Unit sales of trackballs were up 89 percent
last year, with revenues up 54 percent, reaching $28 million
dollars for the industry as a whole, according to Intellect
ASW.
Given recent trends, betting on the overall growth of the PC
business makes sense to many investors, despite declining PC
profit margins and the surplus of PC vendors that makes picking
the right PC-maker a challenge.
But, no matter which low-price PC vendor wins the battle, one
thing seems certain: there are going to be a whole lot of new
mice running around the desktop.
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