| Fears
that couch potatoes arent ready to follow sports on the
Internet have contributed to a steep post-IPO slide for Quokka
Sports' {QKKA}
stock.
The company, based in San Francisco, portrays itself as the
leader in "digital sports immersion." Recently, the
stock has been trading at about $7 a share, well below its July
29 IPO price of $12.
"It looks like the company may be a few years ahead of
its opportunity," says Andrew Bartels, an Internet analyst
with the Giga Information Group.
Quokka, named after an Australian marsupial, got off the block
fast earlier this year. Upside Magazine named CEO Al
Ramadan one of its "Elite 100." The company was also
nominated for a prestigious 1999 Webby Award for Best Sports
Site.
"What got them going was they had a phenomenal Web site,"
says Mark Hardie, a senior analyst with Forrester Research.
"They use image, text, and graphics better than any other
site Ive seen."
The problem, analysts say, is turning the sites way-cool
look and feel into a profitable business.
Quokkas revenue for the three months ended June 30 grew
to $2.6 million, compared with $2.5 million for the year-earlier
period. But losses swelled to $18.2 million for the June quarter,
up from $1.6 million for the same quarter last year.
According to the company, losses are expected to continue for
at least two more years.
While Quokkas stock is getting drubbed, the companys
backers say SEC-IPO "quiet period" regulations prevent
them from getting their side of the story heard.
In a press release issued last week, though, which announced
several new executive hires, Quokkas CEO steadfastly maintained
that Quokka has "an innovative digital sports entertainment
business model."
The company is pinning its hopes on what it calls "digital
sports immersion." The idea is to let viewers choose from
a variety of perspectives, information, and action sequences.
Quokkas site incorporates video, audio, text, e-mails,
and other features to give sports enthusiasts more control over
what they watch.
Although all the sites anticipated features arent
yet fully operational, plans calls for allowing viewers to custom-tailor
broadcasts by picking from a variety of camera angles rather
than watching a single camera angle chosen for them.
Viewers are also able to call up statistics and other related
data and information on command.
"The problem is, when are people going to watch?"
asks John Hannon, an analyst with Security Capital Trading in
New York.
"Youre not going to be able to watch it during the
day; people have to work. And at night, the picture on television
is much better. I dont think many people are going to
want to watch sports on their computers. Its a very narrow
market right now."
Forresters Mark Hardie agrees.
At present, the relatively poor quality of streaming video
over the Web "is a real issue when youre competing
with an event thats on television," he says.
To get around the problem, Quokka has been focusing, at least
in part, on sports that are usually ignored by the major broadcast
networks.
Last year, for example, Quokka covered the Whitbread Round
the World Sailing race, bringing an estimated 1.8 million unique
viewers to its Web site.
Even the skeptics agree that concentrating on niche sports
like sailing and rock climbing gives the company a chance to
establish itself.
"Theyre not really competing with anyone in some
of those areas. The alternative is no coverage at all,"
Hardie says. "But remember: Thats because the major
broadcasters dont see any real opportunities there."
Quokka is also moving forward with an ambitious package of
more mainstream sports coverage.
However, in that area, the company will be going head-to-head
with televised broadcasts. The contracts Quokka recently won,
for example, to produce the International Olympic Committees
Web site and to help NBC produce Internet coverage of the 2000
Summer Olympics, are cases in point.
"In a few years, when the T.V. becomes the interface with
the Internet, and more people use cable modems, that might really
mean something," Bartels says.
"But by that time, Quokka will be facing much more competition,
especially from the broadcasters and agents who already control
rights to major sports telecasts."
A major part of Quokkas business plan involves tying
up and brokering digital rights to popular sports events. But
Forresters Mark Hardie agrees that wont be a slam
dunk.
Broadcast rights for most major sports events are already locked
up by a number of well-established companies, including the
International Management Group Inc., based in Boston, which
represents Wimbledon, among other events.
"It will be easier for companies like that to move into
the digital portion [selling digital rights] when the market
is ready," Hardie says.
"Right now, its so minuscule its not worth their
trouble. Its hard for me to see how Quokka will compete
against those companies."
Meanwhile, Quokka is already facing stiff competition online
from a number of other sports-oriented Web sites, including
NFL.com, ESPN.com, Sportsline.com.
"Theres been a noticeable change in market psychology,"
says John Hannon of Security Capital Trading.
"Even the strong Internet bulls are now saying a lot of
the Internet start-ups wont make it. Youre dealing
with half a glass of water here. A few weeks ago, it was half-full.
Now, its half empty."
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