| Although
some industry watchers are skeptical, one analyst says demand
for Be Inc.s {BEOS}
computer operating system will help drive the companys stock
price up more than 100 percent over the next 12 months.
"Im quite optimistic that when computer users find
out how hard it is to manage audio and video using [Microsofts]
Windows, theyll clamor for the Be operating system, and
computer manufacturers will give it to them," says Charles
H. Finnie, an analyst at Volpe Brown Whelan & Co., based
in San Francisco.
Finnie is quick to add that he doesnt expect Bes
operating system will supplant or replace Windows. "But
it will reside side-by-side with Windows," he says. "It
does a much better job of handling audio and video."
Finnie, whose company helped manage the July 20 initial public
offering for Be, released a research report on Aug. 24 in which
he rates Menlo Park, Calif.-based Be "strong buy."
Recently, the stock has been changing hands close to its original
$6 offering price after falling back from its high of $10.94.
Finnie has set a 12-month price target of $16 for the stock.
"We believe that Be will sign a major PC [original equipment
manufacturer] during the second half of 1999," Finnie wrote
in the report.

BEOS stock performance since its IPO
Be, founded in 1990 by former Apple Computer Inc. {AAPL}
executive Jean-Louis Gassée, makes a computer operating system
thats optimized for audio and video applications. Target
customers are makers of low-cost PCs and next-generation Internet
appliances. Consumers can also purchase the product.
Check out Be.com
So far, sales of Bes operating system have been slim.
Although the software has been in development for about nine
years fewer than 80 units of Bes operating system -- representing
sales of just $3,861 -- were made directly to end-user customers
during June, according to PC Data, a market-research firm based
in Reston, Va. PC Datas figures dont include sales
made through Bes Web site, a figure the company declined
to disclosed. Be ranks 11th on PC Datas list of 12 operating-system
vendors.
The results of PC Datas survey of operating-system sales
through the OEM and value added reseller distribution channels,
which Be is targeting, are even less impressive. "They
dont show up in that category at all yet," says Roger
Lanctot, PC Datas director of research. "But the
fact we register any direct sales at all is reassuring."
Be currently has deals with several manufacturers, including
Hitachi, Fujitsu, and low-cost PC-sellers iDot, Microworkz,
and AST Computers, which is expected to bring new Be-powered
products to market. Intel Corp. {INTC}
holds a minority stake in the company.
Finnie says Bes growth spurt will kick in next year,
when he projects sales of $15.7 million, growing to nearly $70
million the following year, with anticipated 2001 earnings of
four cents per share.
For the second quarter, ended June 30, Be posted revenue of
$537,000, mostly representing licensing deals, up from $309,000
in the first quarter. The companys loss for the second
quarter was $4.7 million, or $1.11 a share, as compared with
a loss of $4.5 million, or $1.47 a share, for the same period
in 1998.
Stacy Quandt, an analyst at Giga Information Group in San Jose,
Calif., says Be is facing an increasingly competitive environment.
"The real problem for the company right now is its
hard for them to get momentum when there is so much hype for
Linux," she says. Linux is the free open-source operating
system sold, with documentation and support, by companies such
as Red Hat Inc. {RHAT}
and Caldera Systems. "Even if you have a low price, its
hard to compete with something thats free," she adds.
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| RHAT
stock performance since its IPO |
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For example, Quandt notes, the Wherehouse music store chain,
based in Torrance, Calif., is about to roll out Linux-powered
kiosks that allow customers to preview music samples. "There
is a real trend toward using Linux in digital media applications,"
she says.
James Smith, an analyst at Dataquest, based in San Jose, Calif.,
agrees. "Linux is going to be a major competitor in that
market," he says.
Both Quandt and Smith say Linuxs current high profile
may help make it the operating system of choice for many new
Internet appliances.
Current sales of Internet-linked appliances are mostly limited
to devices such as the Palm Pilot. But many analysts say an
avalanche of new Net-connected devices will hit the market beginning
next year. Overall, the market for Internet appliances is projected
to grow to 55.7 million units in 2002, up from 5.9 million last
year, according to International Data Corp., based in Framingham,
Mass.
The question is whether Be, Inc. will succeed in grabbing a
slice of that growing market.
The company may have a chance, says Chris Le Tocq, director
of software consulting at Dataquest. "I used to say the
[operating-system] market was like a game of musical chairs
and that Be didnt have a seat. Now, more chairs are being
placed in the game, but there is still a lot of competition
for those chairs," he says.
"Its not too late for Be," Lanctot says. "Theres
still a great opportunity out there."
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