Netro Corp.s {NTRO}
stock price has soared since its recent IPO, reflecting hopes
that the companys alliance with Lucent Technologies Inc.
{LU}
will make it a dominant player in the rapidly growing broadband-wireless
market.
"They have excellent technology, and theres going
to be a huge global market for their products," says Hongjun
Li, director of research at Parks Associates, a telecommunications
market-research firm based in New York.
San Jose, Calif.-based Netro sells broadband-wireless access
systems to telecom providers, such as telephone companies and
Internet service providers. The company went public on Aug.
19 at $8 a share.
The stock skyrocketed on the first day of trading, up 84 percent,
hitting $14.75. More recently, Netro shares have been changing
hands at more than three times that price.

NTRO stock performance since its recent IPO
Industry analysts say Netro is the company to watch in an industry
thats poised to explode over the next few years.
Overall, the market for broadband-wireless equipment is expected
to grow at an annual compound rate of 26.6 percent, from $330
million last year to more than $3.73 billion by 2005, according
to Frost & Sullivan, a market-research firm based in Menlo
Park, Calif.
"The market is still in its embryonic stages," says
Greg Naderi, an information-technology analyst at Frost &Sullivan.
"But the overall industry sentiment is that our estimates
may even be a little on the conservative side."
Netros popularity with analysts stems from strong demand
for wireless broadband, or high-speed telecom services.
The companys technology allows an ISP or telecom company
to bypass local telephone companies and bring inexpensive high-speed
telecom services, including voice and Internet access, directly
to consumers.
"We believe that broadband data technologies represent
the next major growth opportunity for the wireless industry,"
Eric C. Zimits, an analyst at Hambrecht & Quist, based in
San Francisco, wrote in a recent report.
Earlier this year, Lucent, based in Murray Hill, N.J., said
it would bundle Netros main product, AirStar, into Lucents
OnDemand family of wireless broadband systems.
The new product allows consumers with line-of-site access to
a wireless transmitting base station, which could eventually
be as much as 60 percent of all U.S. telecommunications users,
to receive wireless Internet access at speeds as high as 45
megabits per second, nearly 1,000 times faster than 56kbps computer
modems.

LU 52-week stock price chart
Netros product also automatically and immediately divides
bandwidth based on a dynamic assessment of user needs. As a
result, telecom-service providers can deliver the bandwidth
customers need when they need it.
"They dont waste any resources creating bandwidth
streams that arent always in use," Li says. "Thats
a very important feature. Its much more efficient."
Naderi says Netro enjoys a substantial cost advantage over
comparable hard-wired broadband technologies because the incremental
costs to add a new customer are much lower.
"That means the overall price for users is going to be
much less than for other systems," Naderi says. He expects
Netro to announce at least one major new deal with a telecom
provider or major ISP within the next few days or weeks.
Netros most-telling advantage, though, may be the fact
that wireless networks using the companys technology can
be deployed much faster than hard-wired systems can be built.
"Theres no way companies depending on hard-wired
technologies [such as cable-TV firms or traditional telephone
companies] can compete with that rapid installation pace,"
Naderi says.
As a result, Netros opportunities outside the United
States may be even more substantial, Li says.
"Take a place like China," Li adds. "Many areas
there dont even have telecommunications services yet.
They are going to go for the least expensive technology when
they build new systems. I think [Netros technology] will
be very strong, very welcome, in China."
The company faces competition from several large telecom and
networking firms, including Nortel Networks Corp. {NT},
Ericsson {ERICY},
and a venture between Cisco Systems Inc. {CSCO}
and Motorola Inc. {MOT},
all of which have been making substantial investments recently
in broadband-wireless technology.
" Thats why the alliance with Lucent is so important,"
Li says. Companies such as Cisco and Motorola are relatively
new entrants in the wireless broadband field, he says, while
"Netro is the more established player."
Netro posted a loss of $14.3 million on revenue of $5.3 million
for the six months ended June 30.
Check
out Netro Corp.'s Web site (editor's update: company
acquired by SR Telecom in 2003)
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