| When
it comes to picking Internet stocks, conventional ideas about
appropriate valuations have pretty much been thrown out the window.
But sooner or later, the Internet mania could fade away like other
once-sizzling investment crazes, such as tulip futures or biotechnology
stocks.
If and when the long-feared Internet stock selloff does take
place, stock-picking fundamentals are likely to re-emerge as
a critical factor in investment decision-making. Those fundamentals,
which assess basic stock-performance metrics, may well determine
which stocks can rise phoenixlike from the ashes, and which
ones might evaporate into the ether of the penny-stock listings.
But which fundamentals are important? And which stock-picking
methodologies are best suited to your particular investment
philosophy?
One of the best places to look for answers to those questions
is the online guru-analysis stock-research service offered by
West Hartford, Conn.-based Reese Group.
Reese Groups free online service screens stocks according
to criteria established by some of the worlds best-known
stock-pickers. The famous stock-pickers dont make the
picks themselves. Instead, the site allows investors to obtain
a dynamic appraisal of how individual stocks stack up based
on current performance indicators using criteria preferred by
well-known experts.
The service combines the collected wisdom of, among others,
Peter Lynch, the world-renowned former Fidelity fund manager;
Martin Zweig, chairman of the Zweig Funds; William ONeil,
an author and founder of Investors Business Daily;
Forbes columnist Kenneth Fisher, who pioneered the price-to-sales
ratio; quantitative-analysis champion J.P. OShaughnessy;
value investor Benjamin Graham; and legendary contrarian investor
David Dreman.
At the site, investors can find out when a particular stock
would be of "strong interest," "some interest,"
or "no interest" based upon the criteria preferred
by the individual analysts. A "no interest" rating
doesnt necessarily mean a particular analyst would sell
the stock. It does, however, suggest the stock probably would
not be anywhere near the top of that analysts buy list.
In the Internet sector, for example, on one recent day just
seven of several hundred stocks analyzed were favored by three
or more stock-picking methodologies. The leader, with support
from five different methodologies, was Knight/Trimark Group
Inc. {NITE},
which won favorable nods using methods popularized by Lynch,
ONeil, Zweig, and the Motley Fool and Olympic Internet
Strategy online services.
| Knight/Trimark
Group, Inc. {NITE} |

Knight/Trimark 52-week stock performance |
| Analyst
Opinions |
| Strong Buy |
3 |
| Buy |
3 |
| Hold |
2 |
| Sell |
0 |
| Strong Sell |
0 |
Analyst Ratings by Zacks
|
RSA Security Inc. {RSAS}
came in second, winning support from four analysis methodologies:
Lynch, ONeil, Zweig, and the Olympic Internet Strategy.
| RSA
Security Inc. {RSAS} |

Knight/Trimark 52-week stock performance |
Analyst
Opinions |
| Strong Buy |
2 |
| Buy |
9 |
| Hold |
6 |
| Sell |
0 |
| Strong Sell |
0 |
Analyst Ratings by Zacks
|
Five technology stocks were favored by three or more stock-picking
methods: Gemstar International Group Ltd. {GMST},
Intuit Inc. {INTU},
Microsoft Corp. {MSFT},
Network Appliance Inc. {NTAP},
and Network Solutions Inc. {NSOL}.
Dozens of other Internet stocks were favored by two or fewer
analyst methodologies.
The difference between stock picks is related to the varying
emphasis analysts place on particular performance metrics.
The Lynch methodology, for example, emphasizes a stocks
profit/earnings/growth ratio, earnings-per-share growth rate
and the total debt-to-equity ratio, among other factors.
Zweigs methodology, on the other hand, looks at some
of those same issues but also gives weight to revenue growth
in relation to EPS growth, earnings acceleration and persistence,
and the rate of sales growth.
Contrarian Dremans technique, by contrast, looks for
smaller-cap stocks, compares the price of a stock with its cash
flow, book value, and dividend ratio, assesses a companys
pretax profit margins and overall yield, along with about a
dozen other factors.
Somewhat alarmingly, there are quite a few very popular Internet
stocks whose fundamentals were found lacking, at then-current
price levels, by every one of the stock-picking methodologies
detailed on the Reese Groups guru analysis Web site. Those
include Bluefly Inc. {BFLY},
Dr.Koop.com Inc. {KOOP},
E.piphany Inc. {EPNY},
Healtheon/WebMD Corp. {HLTH},
Kana Communications Inc. {KANA},
NextCard Inc. {NXCD},
and priceline.com, Inc. {PCLN},
among many others.
With the Nasdaq Composite Index at record highs and many people
talking about the so-called "Internet bubble," now
might be a very good time for investors to see how their stock
holdings, particularly their Internet stock holdings, measure
up based on some leading rational and un-exuberant stock-picking
methodologies.
Its the kind of information youll probably want
to have the day before, rather than the day after, the selling
starts in earnest.
That is, if it ever does.
|