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Biotech toolmaker Caliper Technologies Corp.s initial
public offering is another test for investors appetite
for tech stocks that don't involve the Internet, e-business
or broadband.
Caliper, a life-sciences firm that make devices that speed
up pharmaceutical research, hit Wall Street today at $28 a share.
It had priced on Tuesday night at $15, at the top of its range,
after expanding its offering to 4.5 million shares from 3.6
million. The company had hoped to net $57.6 million from the
IPO.
Although analysts are divided on the prospects for new biotechs,
some investors may be disappointed if they think backing firms
building a new technical infrastructure for the biotech industry
will generate the same kind of lucrative returns recently posted
by some Internet-infrastructure stocks.
"Its not the same thing," says Bill Slattery,
life-science fund manager for Amerindo Investment Advisors,
based in New York. "From a technical standpoint, these
new drug-delivery tools make a lot of sense. But from a business
perspective, you have to be more careful."
Founded in 1995, Mountain View, Calif.-based Caliper Technologies
makes a lab-on-a-chip drug-research tool that facilitates the
search for new pharmaceuticals. Several other similar firms
are lined up in the IPO pipeline, hoping the interest generated
by Calipers offering might help revive the sagging market
for biotech IPOs.
"This kind of technology will pretty much change the whole
paradigm of the drug-discovery industry," says Tricia Nagle,
managing editor of The Drug and Market Development newsletter,
based in Southborough, Mass. "Its one of the most-exciting
areas we cover."
Its an industry that could use a little more excitement.
Although the overall market for IPOs has never been hotter,
IPOs by biotech firms have, for the most part, not gotten in
on much of the recent action, generating just $369 million in
capital last year as compared with $1.5 billion in 1996, according
to Burrill & Co., an investment bank based in San Francisco.
There are several reasons for the lagging performance, all
of which are reflected in the ascendancy of biotech toolmakers
such as Caliper.
Long delays associated with delivering new biotechnology products
to market, along with conspicuous failures in advanced stages
of testing of many new drug compounds, have led many investors
to shy away from once-popular biotech stocks.
Into that breech step companies such as Caliper, which offers
investors a chance to bet on biotechnology without exposing
their portfolios to the possible failure of any one particular
experimental compound.
On the surface, it sounds like a no-brainer. Dig a little deeper
though, and you learn that at least some industry analysts remain
cautious about the sector.
Although careful not to single out Caliper, in particular,
Karen Bernstein, the editor of Biocentury, a Belmont,
Calif.-based publication that tracks key biotech industry developments,
says it would be a mistake for investors to conclude that biotech
companies will be assured of success simply because they make
a tool needed by the industry, even if the tool is excellent.
"One tool is not enough," Bernstein says. "Scale
is absolutely critical. The amount of tools a company can offer
is very important."
One reason for Bernsteins concern is obvious, if not
intuitive. Although as much as $30 billion is expected to be
spent on biotech research next year, the number of customers
purchasing biotech tools, or integrating them into their laboratory
products, remains relatively small.
Caliper Technologies, for example, currently has just a handful
of major customer accounts, including deals with Amgen Inc.
{AMGN},
Eli Lilly & Co. {LLY},
and Hoffmann-La Roche. The company currently sells a single
product that can be used in a variety of laboratory applications.
"The other issue that comes up is that your customers
may become your competitors," says Jim McCamant, editor
of The Medical Technology Stock Letter, based in Berkeley,
Calif. "Big drug companies face a question of whether it
makes more sense to buy a new tool or to build one of their
own. Due to the royalty-stacking problem, pharmaceutical companies
can be reluctant to do business," with biotech toolmakers,
he says.
Royalty-stacking refers to one of the ways biotech toolmakers
have been trying to get around the limited opportunities related
to the small number of firms interested in their wares. The
idea is to charge companies that use their tools a small percentage
of the royalties that result when a new pharmaceutical is actually
brought to market.
"The problem is, if you use many of these tools, you cant
stack eight or 10 royalty agreements on every new drug,"
Slattery says. "Its like if you bought a spreadsheet
and then had to pay some percentage on everything you use the
spreadsheet for to the company you bought it from. It doesnt
make any business sense."
Caliper aims to get around that problem by signing customers
up to its technology-access program, which is essentially a
yearly subscription that entitles them to future iterations
of the firms products. Whether that business model can
work over the long term, however, is still an open question.
"The companies that do the best will be the ones that
work most closely with their customers to make sure they are
providing what is needed and staying on top of new technologies,"
Nagle says.
Nagle says she understands the position of other industry analysts
who emphasize the risks involved in investing in biotech toolmaker
stocks, such as Caliper. "Its tough to place a value
on companies based on what is in the clinic when none of the
compounds developed with these new tools have been introduced
yet."
Nonetheless, Nagle says the profile of biotech toolmakers such
as Caliper will be raised once new drugs developed with their
technologies start making their way to market, a development
that could give biotech toolmakers more leverage with customers
and more opportunities to develop their own proprietary drugs.
"Its important to look down the line a few years
and think about how all this is going to come out, particularly
after the human genome project [which is expected to yield promising
new drug research possibilities] is finished," Nagle says.
Its a point McCamant readily concedes. He says the best
such companies will be candidates for mergers and acquisitions
by their largest customers, which could make them good investments.
Nonetheless, McCamant says investors probably wont see
the huge run-ups in biotech toolmaker stock prices similar to
those that take place when a pharmaceutical firm successfully
brings a new drug to market.
"Its not going to be 10 to 20 times on the upside,"
McCamant says, "but you can still make money on them."
As for Calipers prospects, McCamant says there are reasons
to be optimistic, despite his concerns about the overall dynamics
facing the sector. "Caliper has a very good, experienced,
executive team, its a well-run company, and they have
an interesting technology."
Other biotech toolmaker companies in the IPO pipeline, in addition
to Caliper, include Aclara Biosciences, based in Hayward, Calif.,
which is involved in a patent lawsuit with Caliper, and Princeton,
N.J.-based Orchid Biocomputer.
Caliper reported a loss of about $3 million in fiscal 1999
on sales of $8.2 million.
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