| Analysts
say Sonic Foundry Inc.s {SFO}
stock, which doubled in price this week despite the Internet-sector
selloff, continues to have strong upside potential.
"Sonic Foundry is going to be a great story and company,"
says John Todd, an analyst at C.E. Unterberg Towbin, based in
San Francisco.
Todds "strong buy" recommendation and $80 12-month
price target helped send the stock soaring on Tuesday, a day
when many other popular Internet stocks got hammered.
About two weeks earlier, on Dec. 22, H.C. Wainwright &
Co. analyst Jason Noah Ader, based in Boston, also issued a
very positive research note on the company, setting a six-to-nine-month
price target of $30 a share, which he raised to $55 earlier
this week.
"It was pretty clear to me the stock was undervalued,"
Ader says. "Then Unterberg picked it up, and it blew right
past my target. It turns out $30 was conservative."
One of the factors fueling interest in Sonic Foundrys
stock are expectations the company will soon announce significant
new clients for its newly established media-services division.
"We anticipate that Sonic Foundry in early 2000 could
significantly expand its recently established Media Services
business in conjunction with major media and Internet partners/investors,"
Todd wrote in his recent research report. "Sonic should
be able to leverage its leadership position in broadband video
encoding and well-entrenched media relationships into a long-term
dominant role as the leading provider of encoding services for
Internet media worldwide."
Todd, an Internet-infrastructure stock specialist, has been
riding a winning streak lately. He issued a "strong buy"
rating on Optibase Ltd. {OBAS}
back in late June, for example, when the stock was changing
hands at about $7 a share.

Post-IPO chart for OBAS
Other notable Todd winning picks include "strong buy"
recommendations last September on Proxim Inc. {PROX},
then trading at $39, and Puma Technology Inc. {PUMA},
then trading at $14.
 |
 |
| One-year charts
for PROX (left) & PUMA |
"I feel the same way about Sonic Foundry," Todd says.
"The stock is sorely undervalued at its current price level."
Madison, Wis.-based Sonic Foundry is one of just a handful
of companies that make universal digital-authoring tools for
Internet-based multimedia broadcasting.
Sonic Foundrys tools make it possible for media-content
providers, such as broadcasters, movie studios, or recording
companies, to use one software tool to encode their digital
wares in all three of the most commonly used streaming media
formats, Microsoft Corp.s {MSFT}
Windows Media Player, Apple Computer Inc.s {AAPL}
Quicktime and RealVideo Corp.s RealPlayer.
"It greatly simplifies the process," says Edmund
Ha, an analyst with Giga Information Group, based in Boston.
"The individual streaming media companies dont have
any interest in helping customers use other formats. Theyll
help you encode your media in their format. But most Web sites
that offer media do it in more than one format. It saves them
a lot of time if they can do it with just one tool."
The analysts tracking the company say the trend toward outsourcing
is also likely to help Sonic Foundry, which has set it sights
on generating significant revenue from customers who would prefer
to let the company handle the task of digitizing any media they
wish to offer online.
"That business model makes a lot of sense," says
Greg Howard, principal analyst at High-Tech Resource Consulting
Group, based in San Andreas, Calif.
Howard says the needs of Web-site operators are rapidly outpacing
their ability to keep up, particularly for multimedia Web sites.
The information downloaded from Web sites is increasing by 8.4
percent a month, while Web-site operators say they only plan
to increase staffing by 12 percent over the next year, according
to a recent survey of 100 major Web sites conducted by his firm.
"Theres a big imbalance that will mean more outsourcing.
Its becoming a requirement in many cases," he says.
A handful of competitors, most notably Loudeye Inc., based
in Seattle, and Marlboro, Mass.-based Media100 Inc. make similar
digital-media authoring tools.
But Sonic Foundrys tools appear to be in the lead, having
produced more than 50 percent of all the streaming media content
now on the Web, according to Todd.
"Theres going to be so much demand for these services
that both companies will have enough business to do well,"
Todd says.
Sonic Foundry posted a loss of $1.8 million on revenue of $5.1
million for the fiscal fourth quarter ended Sept. 30, compared
with a loss of $1.3 million on revenue of $4.2 million during
the previous quarter.
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