Want to buy into the red-hot business-to-business market and hedge
your bets with the health-care sector? If today's IPO of Neoforma.com
{NEOF}
is any indication, other people may have the same idea.
Neoforma's initial public offering made a big splash, opening
at $36.50, after the company priced its 7 million shares at
$13 apiece, above an expected range of $10 to $12. It closed
at $52.38, surviving a broad selloff in tech stocks.

Neoforma.com Post-IPO Stock-Performance Chart
Analysts for the most part have expressed enthusiasm for the
companys approach to the business-to-business health-care
sector.
"I think there are a lot opportunities for companies to
create value by efficiently combining buyers with suppliers
to eliminate inefficiencies," says Brian Kearns, an analyst
with Banc of America Securities, based in New York.
In addition, rumors continue that Neoforma.com will soon make
a material announcement concerning its marketing partnership
with Santa Clara, Calif.-based Healtheon/WebMD Corp. {HLTH}
that could pump up interest in the stock even further.

Healtheon/WebMD Post-IPO Stock-Performance Chart
Analysts give Neoforma.com, which is also based in Santa Clara,
Calif., high marks for making progress in a notoriously difficult
market.
Kearns, for example, says building an online health-care equipment
marketplace of the sort envisioned by Neoforma.com is a difficult
task that involves a classic chicken-and-egg problem. If a site
has too few suppliers, it wont attract buyers in sufficient
numbers. And without the buyers, suppliers have less reason
to sign up.
"Its a race to see who can gather the most participants
first," Kearns says. "In that sense, Neoforma has
an advantage because they got an early start."
Peter Boland, an industry analyst and founder of Boland Healthcare,
based in Berkeley, Calif., says he is impressed with Neoformas
approach.
"The company is well-positioned to take advantage of a
burgeoning new market opportunity powered by the ease and compelling
logic of online purchasing," Boland says.
The positive sentiment is shared by Eric Brown, who leads the
health-care research team at Forrester Research, based in Cambridge,
Mass. "What Neoforma.com is doing is interesting and exciting,"
he says. "It really gets the Internet juices flowing."
Brown adds that he likes the fact that health-care equipment
buyers can use Neoformas services with a desktop browser,
rather than having to install an entirely new procurement management
system.
Neoforma is working on creating a kind of eBay Inc. {EBAY}
for the health-care industry. The firm envisions itself as a
full-service provider of medical equipment and facility-design
services. One of the key components of Neoformas strategy
involves the hosting of auctions where surplus high-price medical
equipment and supplies can be sold or exchanged among health-care
organizations.
Last May, the company inked a marketing arrangement with Healtheon/Web
MD to jointly promote Neoformas novel method of selling
new and used medical equipment.
The annual overall market for medical supplies in the U.S.
is estimated at $140 billion, according to a recent Internet/eHealth
report published by Goldman Sachs Investment Research, based
in New York.
At present, Neoforma has captured only an infinitesimal slice
of that market. The companys Web site currently lists
just 14 suppliers and four medical institutions that have formally
signed up to use the service. Analysts say that performance
in the B2B health-care space is, however, better than the track
record of many other online companies going after the same market,
all of whom seem to be encountering considerable resistance.
Richard Lee, an analyst at Wit Capital based in San Francisco,
says investors should be aware that institutional health-care
buyers are often restrained from buying equipment or services
over the Web at the most competitive prices. "Trying to
disintermediate the distributors is a pipe dream," he says.
"Theres been a lot of push-back on the B2B side.
Companies are not making a huge amount of inroads."
Lee says he is more optimistic about one of Neoforma.coms
competitors, privately held Medibuy.com Inc., which is based
in San Diego. The company is an early champion of what Lee thinks
will be a winning business model.
"The best approach is to try to get the existing distributors
[of health-care products and services] on their sites as a way
to drive incremental sales," Lee says, adding that such
an approach is the centerpiece of Medibuy.coms strategy.
Chemdex Corp. {CMDX},
based in Mountain View, Calif., is another major competitor
in the hard-to-penetrate market.
One problem facing Neoforma.com and similar companies, analysts
say, is the fact that the health-care industry has thus far
largely resisted the attempts of Internet firms seeking to streamline
notoriously bloated and inefficient medical procurement, billing
and record-keeping procedures. Its a system that recent
studies say has at least $11 billion worth of waste in the supply
chain each year, according to Darren Marhula, an analyst at
U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray, based in Minneapolis.
Eliminating that waste, however, is no walk in the park.
Legacy systems, traditional industry practices, the dominance
of a handful of major medical equipment distributors, and pre-existing
hospital and medical-center group-purchasing arrangements are
holding the health-care sector back from the type of Internet-fostered
changes to business models that are rapidly taking hold in many
other parts of the economy.
"The industrys electronic data interchange infrastructure
is hanging like a millstone around the necks of many health-care
institutions," Brown says.
"I think the B2B side is going to be very, very tricky,"
adds Dr. Wally Buch, a physician and general partner at Atherton
Ventures, an investment group based in Menlo Park, Calif.. "It
will be very hard to disintermediate the hospitals," he
says. "Theyre notoriously conservative and reluctant
to get rid of the group-purchasing organizations. Its
going to be quite a task."
But Boland, says he thinks the time is nearing when Neoforma
can enjoy considerable success in its target markets. "Neoforma
is in the right place at the right time in terms of the cost
pressures, customer interface and the technology curve,"
he says.
Neoforma.com posted a loss of $8.1 million on revenue of just
$7,000 for the six months ended June 30, 1999, compared with
a loss of $1.1 million on zero revenue for the same period a
year earlier.
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