| Analysts
say FairMarket Inc.s {FAIM}
novel business model gives the company a good shot at carving
out a lucrative online niche.
"They come across as a very strong player," says
Anna Giraldo Kerr, senior Internet and eCommerce strategies
analyst at International Data Corp., based in Boston. "Im
fairly optimistic about what theyre doing."
So far, investors seem to be optimistic, too. The companys
stock has traded as high as 53 1/2 Tuesday, after opening at
47. Late Monday, FairMarket priced its 5 million share offering
at 17, above its price target range of 13 to 15.

FairMarket post-IPO stock performance
Woburn, Mass.-based FairMarket is championing a unique hybrid
approach to e-commerce infrastructure development that combines
hosted private-label auctions with a syndication model that
ties those auctions together to bring large numbers of buyers
and sellers under a single online umbrella.
"There are other companies that do some of what they do,"
Kerr says. "But I havent come across another company
that is doing exactly what they do."
The firm currently has upwards of 90 customers, including big
names such as CompUSA Inc. {CPU},
Dell Computer Corp. {DELL}
and Cyberian Outpost Inc. {COOL},
as well as leading online portals, such as Excite@Home {ATHM},
Lycos Inc. {LCOS}
and Microsoft Corp.s {MSFT}
MSN.com. Microsoft and Excite own 21 percent and 15 percent
of the firm, respectively, while Lycos has an option to purchase
9 percent.
The firms ownership structure "means their software
is going to get used by some big players," says Stan Dolberg,
vice president of research at Forrester Research, based in Cambridge,
Mass.
FairMarket offers a hosted service that allows online businesses
to offer private-label branded auctions on their Web sites.
Customers pay monthly hosting fees plus a small fee for each
completed transaction. The service allows online businesses
to tap into the growing popularity of online auctions without
having to master the technical complexities involved in their
execution.
As an added bonus, FairMarkets customers can link the
content in their auctions to the content in all other auctions
hosted by the firm, a feature that gives new customers instant
access to considerably more eyeballs then they could hope to
attract on their own.
"FairMarket has built a technically superior auction environment
that effectively combines entertainment with interactivity,"
says Bob Davis, chief executive officer of Lycos, when he announced
his firms recent investment in the firm. "Online
auctions have mass audience appeal, and the FairMarket service
will allow Lycos to benefit even more from this huge commerce
opportunity."
The approach is generating traction on both the business-to-business,
or B2B, and business-to-consumer, or B2C, sides.
"Theyre not committed to either B2B or B2C,"
Kerr says. "Instead, they are building critical mass to
establish themselves as an auction platform. Theyre in
very good company with some significant clients. Its a
very good launching pad."
Online auctions, and similar services that combine multiple
sellers and buyers in a single electronic marketplace, are expected
to become a dominant form of online commerce.
In the B2B sector, for example, bilateral trade, online transactions
conducted between a single buyer and a single seller, are expected
to total about $351.5 billion this year, as compared with $54.7
billion in so-called e-marketplaces, which combine multiple
buyers and sellers. By 2004, however, e-marketplaces are expected
to take the lead, accounting for $1.41 trillion in sales, as
compared with $1.27 trillion for direct seller-to-buyer transactions,
according to Forrester Research.
"We expect auctions will be a significant part of that,"
Dolberg says. "Auctions are just a pricing mechanism that
lets the market push the price up and down. Its extremely
efficient, it works, and we see them as having multiple applications."
Analysts say one unsettled challenge for the firm, however,
is how clients might react once they gain more experience with
the linked auction business model. Dell Computers, for example,
which uses the FairMarket service to sell refurbished computers
online, might eventually decide it doesnt want to see
its offerings pitted against those of its direct competitors,
such as CompUSA.
"The idea has pluses and minuses," Kerr says. "For
shoppers, its a great opportunity. But if I was Dell or
CompUSA, I wouldnt want buyers to jump to the other side.
On the other hand, the sellers get access to more eyeballs,
which lowers their customer acquisition costs. On balance, I
think the potential benefits outweigh the risks."
The analysts warn, however, that should clients begin to balk
at participating in FairMarkets linked online auction
network it could reduce the firm to the position of merely being
a supplier of hosted auction services, which would substantially
reduce the firms value.
"Their value proposition is all about having a broad structure
in place that lets you inherit this giant set of eyeballs,"
Dolberg says. It might not be enough, he says, for the company
to simply sell its services to firms that conduct auctions totally
independent of one another.
"Not every business is going to want to do auctions,"
Dolberg adds. "This appeals mostly to [online] hubs, and
there arent hundreds or thousands of them, so there is
a limited number of customers for auction software. But building
an auction network, that is much more interesting."
Although analysts are hard-pressed to name direct competitors,
there are several other still privately held firms, such as
Research Triangle Park, N.C.-based OpenSite Technologies Inc.
and Moai, based in San Francisco, that offer a somewhat overlapping
set of services.
"If youre looking at auction software, FairMarket
has the visibility advantage," Dolberg says. "They
are a technology provider to a significant number of sites."
FairMarket posted a loss of $16.5 million on revenue of $2.1
million for the year ended Dec. 31, as compared with a loss
of $1.38 million on revenue of $4,000 for 1998.
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